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Saturday September 21, 2019

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Publisher and CEO Blog - Pawan Agrawal Blog

US-Iran Clash: Another Oil Crisis For India?

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After the attainment of independence, India has been pursuing a multi-dimensional development game plan to bring happiness and prosperity to its people. For macro development, the most important was to provide the best roads and automobile industrialisation within the country. To keep the nation moving smoothly forward, it was necessary to explore for oil within the country all the while ensuring that demand for fuel was supplemented by supply by imports from extant oil-producing nations like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, USA, Iran, Iraq and Venezuela among others. The growth of the economy depended largely on how that demand-supply chain was managed when both pricing and supply were disrupted by geopolitical upheavals.

One such crisis is looming on the horizon caused by sanctions imposed by the US on Iran for pursuing a nuclear programme that has the potential of becoming a nuclear weapon project. The world heaved a sigh of relief when US President Barack Obama signed the agreement with Iran to restrict its capability of creating uranium that can be used to make nuclear warheads. But President Donald Trump kept his election promise to scrap the deal and is now insisting that all nations cut economic, especially oil, ties with Iran and force it into a unilateral nuclear disarmament which Iran is resisting. Tehran is adhering to the original agreement but is showing signs that its patience is depleting by a gradual escalation in the potency of the uranium it is producing in its centrifuges. It has threatened to block the passage of ships carrying oil out of the Persian Gulf and Britain’s seizure of an Iranian tanker off Gibralter in the Mediterranean has triggered an escalation that could tear the world apart.

India has long had to balance its unique centuries-old relations with Shia Iran and the US-supported Sunni phalanx that helped create the Al Qaeda, the Taliban and the ISIS at different points in contemporary history where Afghanistan and later Iraq has been the pivot.

The grant of the Chabahar Port project to India has opened a route for India to directly access Afghanistan and the Central Asia Republics of the former Soviet Union and avoid the trans-Pakistan route which has been blocked since the Kargil War. American belligerence will jeopardise this route and severely affect the Indian economy.

The demand for oil has increased in the past two decades mainly due to the boom in the automobile sector. The consumption of oil has gone very high and that is the reason that imports have been multiplying so much that a major portion of our foreign exchange is spent on the import of oil alone.

Unfortunately, in the past two to three decades, the world affairs have been such that for various reasons India has been in quite a struggle to procure oil for its requirements from its old friends on the globe like Iraq and Iran. The tussle going on between US and Iran is considered to be the biggest threat to the acquisition of oil by India.

Now India’s situation is quite complicated by the need to balance its relations with the US, Iran and other countries and that is the reason that India has neither favoured nor opposed either the US or Iran on the current crises. But this situation is going to worsen in the coming weeks if both the countries do not sort it out amicably.

This edition is focused on the current situation between US and Iran and how it can adversely affect India’s interests. I am sure dear reader that you will like this edition.

Jai Hind!

 

A Longstanding Menace: Naxalism

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In an era when Marxist-Leninist-Maoist Communist ideology suffered a grievous body blow by the collapse of the Soviet Union in the last decade of the 20th century, in India what has come to be known as Left Wing Extremism, has grown and expanded its influence across a huge swath of territory extending from the north down to the south.

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Sri Lanka Attacks Need For Joint Action Plan

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For the past few decades the entire globe has been afflicted by the twin curses of global warming and global terrorism. While scientists are trying their best to find out the reasons for and solutions to counter the global warming phenomenon, the entire world’s policy and decisions-makers in the governments, police and security forces are occupied in finding the connections and nexus between the fountainheads and sleeper cells in the many global terror networks. Unfortunately, there has been a drastic and rapid change in the operations and the strategies and formations of the newer terrorist outfits across the globe

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“India’s Lead to the world”

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The evening of 23 May 2019 brought a new message to the entire world that India is now going to lead the world to bring peace, prosperity and development on the globe. It is not a mere victory of a political party but it’s a victory of all those who wish for peace and prosperity on earth. Every country has various ways of electing their governments and the same is the case with India too. India has seen some 15 General Elections so far after independence but this election of 2019 has been completely different in many different ways. This was the first election of its kind where people have voted above the religion, caste and creed and just kept one single point in their minds while casting their vote:

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Maximising Security Helicopter Command

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The dynamics of transportation, both military and civilian, have undergone a sea-change since rotary-wing vehicles, known as helicopters, made their debut at around the middle of World War II. More and more helicopters are being used both for direct aerial combat as well as for transportation of men and material propelled by an increasing density of road traffic; congestion at existing airfields, and, as in the case with India, where road transportation is stymied by the difficulties of road and bridge construction in the high Himalayan battlefields. At rapid pace, the feasibility (and necessity) of using unmanned drone rotary winged vehicles from the very heavy lift to miniscule eyes-in-the-sky surveillance platforms is being demonstrated.

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