Key Developments:

Intelligence Cut-Off: Washington has frozen intelligence-sharing channels with Ukraine, with US allies also barred from passing along US-sourced intelligence.

Impact on Ukraine’s Military: The decision threatens Ukraine’s ability to conduct precise strikes on high-value Russian targets, which rely heavily on US intelligence.

Diplomatic Tensions: The rift follows a contentious Oval Office meeting between Trump and Zelenskyy, where the Ukrainian leader reportedly expressed willingness to negotiate.

Potential Reversal: US officials, including National Security Adviser Mike Waltz, hinted that military and intelligence support could resume if negotiations progress.

US intelligence has been critical in providing real-time battlefield insights, including tracking Russian military movements and early warnings of missile attacks. Analysts warn that losing this support could tilt the war in Russia’s favour.

Zelenskyy, in a conciliatory move, stated Ukraine is open to peace talks and even suggested signing a deal that would grant the US rights to Ukraine’s natural resources. This proposal may be part of broader efforts to restore diplomatic ties.

Meanwhile, UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron are reportedly working with Zelenskyy on a peace proposal to present to Trump, fueling speculation about an imminent diplomatic push.

As tensions mount, all eyes are on Washington to see whether the US will restore military and intelligence support to Ukraine or continue its strategic recalibration.